BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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UNC Wilmington
Class: 1 Class Rank: 129 Overall: (21-10) Overall Strength = 44.87
Conference: Colonial Record: (11-6) | District: 1-02 Record: (17-9)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-06-2023 Home W 40.01 105 66 ZZ 189 ( 0- 2) Mt Olive -4.99 * 43.99
2 11-11-2023 Away W * 61.31 83 66 1 172 (22-12) UNC Asheville 16.31 0.69
3 11-14-2023 Home W 37.25 116 80 ZZ 188 ( 0- 2) Columbia Intl -7.76 * 43.76
4 11-20-2023 Neutral W * 44.35 83 81 1 1 159 (12-20) Murray St -0.66 2.66
5 11-21-2023 Neutral L * 18.77 56 86 1 90 (27- 7) Appalachian St -26.24 -3.76
6 11-25-2023 Away W * 56.23 71 55 1 250 (14-18) Florida Gulf Coast 11.22 4.78
7 11-30-2023 Away L * 35.55 66 74 1 182 (15-18) East Carolina -9.45 1.45
8 12-02-2023 Away W 67.46 80 73 1 20 (23-10) Kentucky 22.45 -15.45
9 12-10-2023 Home W 61.67 119 50 ZZ 249 ( 0- 2) Montreat 16.66 * 52.34
10 12-16-2023 Away W * 42.79 82 77 1 287 ( 9-24) Ga Southern -2.22 7.22
11 12-21-2023 Away W * 49.37 78 69 1 246 (13-20) Marshall 4.36 4.64
12 12-30-2023 Away L 33.76 90 106 1 107 (16-17) Arkansas -11.25 -4.75
13 01-04-2024 Away L * * 32.50 63 78 1 130 (20-12) Drexel -12.51 -2.49
14 01-06-2024 Away L * * 43.09 64 67 1 146 (20-14) Towson -1.91 -1.09
15 01-11-2024 Home W * * 50.02 69 56 1 194 (18-15) Monmouth NJ 5.01 7.99
16 01-14-2024 Home W * * 43.72 79 74 1 168 (19-14) Delaware -1.29 6.29
17 01-18-2024 Away W * * 47.43 82 70 1 309 (13-19) Elon 2.42 9.58
18 01-20-2024 Home W * * 52.40 78 69 1 106 (27- 8) Col Charleston 7.39 1.61
19 01-25-2024 Away W * * 63.32 77 54 1 247 (12-20) Northeastern 18.31 4.69
20 01-27-2024 Away L * * 35.39 78 86 1 1 183 (20-15) Stony Brook -9.61 1.61
21 02-01-2024 Away W * * 55.27 80 74 1 106 (27- 8) Col Charleston 10.26 -4.26
22 02-03-2024 Home W * 32.42 77 74 1 308 (14-18) Campbell -12.58 15.58
23 02-08-2024 Home W * * 60.63 75 56 1 130 (20-12) Drexel 15.62 3.38
24 02-10-2024 Away W * * 61.05 95 65 1 344 ( 9-24) Hampton 16.04 13.96
25 02-15-2024 Home W * * 43.34 73 54 1 342 ( 7-25) NC A&T -1.67 20.67
26 02-17-2024 Home L * * 28.56 72 73 1 309 (13-19) Elon -16.45 15.45
27 02-22-2024 Away W * * 51.26 81 65 1 312 (10-23) William & Mary 6.25 9.75
28 02-26-2024 Away L * 30.29 100 105 2 1 308 (14-18) Campbell -14.71 9.71
29 02-29-2024 Home L * * 31.63 58 69 1 121 (20-13) Hofstra -13.38 2.38
30 03-02-2024 Home W * * 51.22 75 64 1 146 (20-14) Towson 6.21 4.79
31 03-10-2024 Neutral L * * 33.16 56 66 1 146 (20-14) Towson -11.85 1.85
Averages 45.01 79.4 71.0
Best game: 67.46 = 7 point win over Kentucky
Worst game: 18.77 = 30 point loss to Appalachian St
Team stdev: 12.27